FT
VS
BublikTiafoe
Alexander Bublik vs Frances Tiafoe
ATP Wimbledon · Round 3 · Grass · 4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(11) 4-6 6-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLondon, Great Britain
💰 Career prizeBublik $10.9M · Tiafoe $17.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 61%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Alexander Bublik 100% · Frances Tiafoe 0% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Bublik ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Bublik–Tiafoe order).
Alexander Bublik projected to win · 61% — most likely 6-3 6-4 6-4
6-3 6-4 6-4 · 1%6-3 6-4 7-6 · 1%7-6 6-4 6-4 · 1%
Straight sets 26% · avg ~42 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(11) 4-6 6-3