● LIVE
VS
MochizukiSinner
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jannik Sinner
ATP Wimbledon · Round 4 · Grass · 3-6 6-7(0) 2-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLondon, Great Britain
☁️ Weather18°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeMochizuki $1.4M · Sinner $64.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Grass, Mochizuki (Elo 1436) meets Sinner (Elo 1990). The model favours Sinner at 96%. Form: Mochizuki 3L, Sinner 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 4%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Shintaro Mochizuki 0% · Jannik Sinner 100% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Mochizuki ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mochizuki–Sinner order).
Jannik Sinner projected to win · 95% — most likely 4-6 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 4-6 · 4%4-6 4-6 2-6 · 2%2-6 4-6 4-6 · 2%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~36 games · projection accuracy →