FT
VS
SvajdaMinaur
Zachary Svajda vs Alex de Minaur
ATP Wimbledon · Round 3 · Grass · 2-6 7-5 2-6 4-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLondon, Great Britain
💰 Career prizeSvajda $1.9M · Minaur $25.0M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 19%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Zachary Svajda 12% · Alex de Minaur 88% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Svajda ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Svajda–Minaur order).
Alex de Minaur projected to win · 80% — most likely 4-6 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 4-6 · 3%4-6 4-6 6-7 · 1%6-7 3-6 4-6 · 1%
Straight sets 33% · avg ~42 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 2-6 7-5 2-6 4-6