FT
VS
PaoliniKostyuk
Jasmine Paolini vs Marta Kostyuk
WTA Wimbledon · Quarterfinal · Grass · 3-6 2-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLondon, Great Britain
💰 Career prizePaolini $15.3M · Kostyuk $9.1M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 44%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Jasmine Paolini 3% · Marta Kostyuk 97% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Paolini ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Paolini–Kostyuk order).
Marta Kostyuk projected to win · 56% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%6-3 6-4 · 3%4-6 2-6 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 3-6 2-6