Round 2
VS
MertensOsaka
Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka
WTA Bad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · Round 2 · Grass
🕐 Time13:30 UTC ·
📍 VenueBad Homburg, Germany
☁️ Weather30°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeMertens $18.8M · Osaka $25.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Grass, Mertens (Elo 1673) meets Osaka (Elo 1683). The model favours Osaka at 51%. Form: Mertens 1L, Osaka 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 49%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mertens–Osaka order).
Naomi Osaka projected to win · 53% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 3%6-3 6-4 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →