FT
VS
PellegrinoRublev
Andrea Pellegrino vs Andrey Rublev
ATP Nordea Open · Round 2 · Hard · 6-7(3) 7-6(7) 3-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBåstad, Sweden
💰 Prize pool€612,620
💰 Career prizePellegrino $1.3M · Rublev $32.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 27%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Andrea Pellegrino 8% · Andrey Rublev 92% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Pellegrino ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Pellegrino–Rublev order).
Andrey Rublev projected to win · 72% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 8%4-6 6-7 · 4%6-7 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 56% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-7(3) 7-6(7) 3-6