● LIVE
VS
BasilashviliChoinski
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Jan Choinski
ATP Nordea Open · Round 1 · Hard · 6-4 4-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBåstad, Sweden
💰 Prize pool€612,620
☁️ Weather19°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeBasilashvili $9.6M · Choinski $1.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Basilashvili (Elo 1492) meets Choinski (Elo 1367). The model favours Basilashvili at 67%. Form: Basilashvili 1L, Choinski 7L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 67%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Nikoloz Basilashvili 80% · Jan Choinski 20% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Basilashvili ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Basilashvili–Choinski order).
Nikoloz Basilashvili projected to win · 68% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%6-3 7-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 4%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →