● LIVE
VS
ArnaldiDzumhur
Matteo Arnaldi vs Damir Dzumhur
ATP Plava Laguna Croatia Open Umag · Quarterfinal · Clay · 6-6(0)
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueUmag, Croatia
☀️ Weather23°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeArnaldi $5.8M · Dzumhur $6.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Clay, Arnaldi (Elo 1693) meets Dzumhur (Elo 1533). The model favours Arnaldi at 71%. Form: Arnaldi 1L, Dzumhur 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 71%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Matteo Arnaldi 68% · Damir Dzumhur 32% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Arnaldi ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Arnaldi–Dzumhur order).
Matteo Arnaldi projected to win · 74% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%6-3 6-2 · 3%6-3 6-3 · 3%
Straight sets 56% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →