CarabelliBusta

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Pablo Carreno Busta

ATP Plava Laguna Croatia Open Umag · Round 2 · Clay · 3-6 7-5 7-5

🕐 Time15:30 UTC

📍 VenueUmag, Croatia

💰 Career prizeCarabelli $2.4M · Busta $17.2M

📏 Distance

Predictions — Win probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli46%

Pablo Carreno Busta54%

Elo 46%

From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Carabelli–Busta order).

Pablo Carreno Busta projected to win · 54% — most likely 4-6 4-6

4-6 4-6 · 3%6-3 6-4 · 3%6-7 3-6 · 2%

Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →

Actual: 3-6 7-5 7-5