FT
VS
HijikataShapovalov
Rinky Hijikata vs Denis Shapovalov
ATP Mifel Tennis Open by Telcel Oppo · Round 1 · Hard · 6-2 3-6 2-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLos Cabos, Mexico
💰 Career prizeHijikata $3.7M · Shapovalov $14.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 37%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Rinky Hijikata 1% · Denis Shapovalov 99% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Hijikata ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Hijikata–Shapovalov order).
Denis Shapovalov projected to win · 63% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%4-6 6-7 · 2%6-7 3-6 · 2%
Straight sets 52% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-2 3-6 2-6