● LIVE
VS
ShapovalovNorrie
Denis Shapovalov vs Cameron Norrie
ATP Mifel Tennis Open by Telcel Oppo · Semifinal · Hard · 6-3 1-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLos Cabos, Mexico
☁️ Weather19°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeShapovalov $14.9M · Norrie $14.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Shapovalov (Elo 1665) meets Norrie (Elo 1703). The model favours Norrie at 55%. Form: Shapovalov 5L, Norrie 4L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 45%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Denis Shapovalov 71% · Cameron Norrie 29% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Shapovalov ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Shapovalov–Norrie order).
Cameron Norrie projected to win · 55% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 6-7 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →