FT
VS
SvrcinaShapovalov
Dalibor Svrcina vs Denis Shapovalov
ATP Mifel Tennis Open by Telcel Oppo · Quarterfinal · Hard · 4-6 2-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLos Cabos, Mexico
💰 Career prizeSvrcina $1.2M · Shapovalov $14.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 38%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Dalibor Svrcina 2% · Denis Shapovalov 98% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Svrcina ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Svrcina–Shapovalov order).
Denis Shapovalov projected to win · 62% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-7 3-6 · 3%6-3 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 4-6 2-6