● LIVE
VS
TabiloJodar
Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
ATP Mubadala DC Open · Semifinal · Hard · 7-6(6)
🕐 Time00:00 UTC
📍 VenueWashington, USA
💰 Prize pool$2,469,450
☁️ Weather25°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeTabilo $5.3M · Jodar $1.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Tabilo (Elo 1670) meets Jodar (Elo 1741). The model favours Jodar at 60%. Form: Tabilo 1L, Jodar 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 40%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Alejandro Tabilo 68% · Rafael Jodar 32% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Tabilo ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Tabilo–Jodar order).
Rafael Jodar projected to win · 60% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 2%4-6 2-6 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →