FT
VS
MichelsenFritz
Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritz
ATP Mubadala DC Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 1-6 6-3 6-7(6)
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueWashington, USA
💰 Prize pool$2,469,450
💰 Career prizeMichelsen $4.0M · Fritz $30.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 37%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Alex Michelsen 46% · Taylor Fritz 54% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Michelsen ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Michelsen–Fritz order).
Taylor Fritz projected to win · 63% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 6-7 · 3%6-3 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 1-6 6-3 6-7(6)