FT
VS
MannarinoMichelsen
Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Michelsen
ATP Mubadala DC Open · Round 2 · Hard · 4-6 6-7(3)
🕐 Time22:00 UTC
📍 VenueWashington, USA
💰 Prize pool$2,469,450
💰 Career prizeMannarino $14.4M · Michelsen $4.0M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 32%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Adrian Mannarino 16% · Alex Michelsen 84% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Mannarino ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mannarino–Michelsen order).
Alex Michelsen projected to win · 67% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 3%4-6 6-7 · 3%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 4-6 6-7(3)