FT
VS
MusettiArnaldi
Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi
WTA Mubadala DC Open · Round 1 · Hard · 6-0 3-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueWashington, USA
💰 Prize pool$2,469,450
💰 Career prizeMusetti $15.0M · Arnaldi $5.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 18%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Lorenzo Musetti 91% · Matteo Arnaldi 9% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Musetti ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Musetti–Arnaldi order).
Matteo Arnaldi projected to win · 84% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%4-6 2-6 · 4%2-6 4-6 · 4%
Straight sets 62% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-0 3-1