● LIVE
VS
KalinskayaPegula
Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula
WTA Mubadala DC Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 3-6 3-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueWashington, USA
💰 Prize pool$2,469,450
🌤️ Weather24°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeKalinskaya $6.5M · Pegula $24.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Kalinskaya (Elo 1775) meets Pegula (Elo 1974). The model favours Pegula at 76%. Form: Kalinskaya 1L, Pegula 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 24%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Anna Kalinskaya 1% · Jessica Pegula 99% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Kalinskaya ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Kalinskaya–Pegula order).
Jessica Pegula projected to win · 76% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%2-6 4-6 · 3%2-6 2-6 · 3%
Straight sets 56% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →