● LIVE
VS
OsakaCocciaretto
Naomi Osaka vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
WTA Mubadala DC Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 4-6 5-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueWashington, USA
💰 Prize pool$2,469,450
🌤️ Weather24°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeOsaka $25.3M · Cocciaretto $3.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Osaka (Elo 1824) meets Cocciaretto (Elo 1633). The model favours Osaka at 75%. Form: Osaka 1L, Cocciaretto 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 75%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Naomi Osaka 63% · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 37% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Osaka ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Osaka–Cocciaretto order).
Naomi Osaka projected to win · 76% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%6-3 6-2 · 3%6-4 6-3 · 2%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →