● LIVE
VS
FrechPegula
Magdalena Frech vs Jessica Pegula
WTA Mubadala DC Open · Round 2 · Hard · 6-3 2-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueWashington, USA
💰 Prize pool$2,469,450
☀️ Weather23°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeFrech $4.6M · Pegula $24.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Frech (Elo 1607) meets Pegula (Elo 1974). The model favours Pegula at 89%. Form: Frech 1L, Pegula 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 11%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Magdalena Frech 24% · Jessica Pegula 76% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Frech ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Frech–Pegula order).
Jessica Pegula projected to win · 89% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%4-6 2-6 · 4%2-6 2-6 · 4%
Straight sets 67% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →