● LIVE
VS
HontamaDay
Mai Hontama vs Kayla Day
WTA Odlum Brown VanOpen · Round 1 · Hard · 6-7(3) 6-3 1-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueVancouver, Canada
💰 Prize pool$225,000
☁️ Weather15°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeHontama $1.1M · Day —
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Hontama (Elo 1363) meets Day (Elo 1317). The model favours Hontama at 57%. Form: Hontama 9L, Day 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 57%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Mai Hontama 54% · Kayla Day 46% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Hontama ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Hontama–Day order).
Mai Hontama projected to win · 61% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 4-6 · 2%7-6 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →