FT
VS
ZhaoJones
Carol Zhao vs Emerson Jones
WTA Odlum Brown VanOpen · Round 1 · Hard · 3-6 6-4 4-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueVancouver, Canada
💰 Prize pool$225,000
💰 Career prizeZhao $846K · Jones $2K
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 34%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Carol Zhao 33% · Emerson Jones 67% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Zhao ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Zhao–Jones order).
Emerson Jones projected to win · 65% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 3%4-6 2-6 · 2%2-6 4-6 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 3-6 6-4 4-6