Round 1
VS
NavoneBerrettini
Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini
ATP National Bank Open presented by Rogers · Round 1 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueToronto, Canada
☁️ Weather21°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeNavone $2.8M · Berrettini $14.1M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Navone (Elo 1574) meets Berrettini (Elo 1713). The model favours Berrettini at 69%. Form: Navone 1L, Berrettini 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 31%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Navone–Berrettini order).
Matteo Berrettini projected to win · 67% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 6-7 · 4%6-7 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 52% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →