Round 1
VS
StruffMichelsen
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen
ATP National Bank Open presented by Rogers · Round 1 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueToronto, Canada
☁️ Weather21°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeStruff $12.8M · Michelsen $4.0M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Struff (Elo 1573) meets Michelsen (Elo 1733). The model favours Michelsen at 72%. Form: Struff 1L, Michelsen 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 28%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Struff–Michelsen order).
Alex Michelsen projected to win · 69% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 3%6-7 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →