Round 1
VS
RoyerBusta
Valentin Royer vs Pablo Carreno Busta
ATP National Bank Open presented by Rogers · Round 1 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueToronto, Canada
☁️ Weather21°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeRoyer $1.2M · Busta $17.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Royer (Elo 1449) meets Busta (Elo 1636). The model favours Busta at 75%. Form: Royer 1L, Busta 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 25%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Royer–Busta order).
Pablo Carreno Busta projected to win · 74% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 7%4-6 6-7 · 4%6-7 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →