Round 1
VS
BellucciBaez
Mattia Bellucci vs Sebastian Baez
ATP National Bank Open presented by Rogers · Round 1 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueToronto, Canada
☁️ Weather21°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeBellucci $2.1M · Baez $6.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Bellucci (Elo 1544) meets Baez (Elo 1562). The model favours Baez at 53%. Form: Bellucci 1L, Baez 3L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 47%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Bellucci–Baez order).
Sebastian Baez projected to win · 50% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 6-7 · 3%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →