Round 1
VS
NorrieCarabelli
Cameron Norrie vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP National Bank Open presented by Rogers · Round 1 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueToronto, Canada
☁️ Weather21°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeNorrie $14.5M · Carabelli $2.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Norrie (Elo 1703) meets Carabelli (Elo 1551). The model favours Norrie at 71%. Form: Norrie 4L, Carabelli 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 71%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Norrie–Carabelli order).
Cameron Norrie projected to win · 70% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%6-3 6-2 · 3%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →