Qualifying Final
VS
SweenyMochizuki
Dane Sweeny vs Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP National Bank Open presented by Rogers · Qualifying Final · Hard
🕐 Time17:30 UTC ·
📍 VenueToronto, Canada
☁️ Weather29°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeSweeny $859K · Mochizuki $1.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Sweeny (Elo 1476) meets Mochizuki (Elo 1441). The model favours Sweeny at 55%. Form: Sweeny 1L, Mochizuki 3L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 55%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Sweeny–Mochizuki order).
Dane Sweeny projected to win · 51% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%6-3 6-4 · 3%7-6 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →