● LIVE
VS
GeaHurkacz
Arthur Gea vs Hubert Hurkacz
ATP China Open · Round 2 · Hard · 3-3
🕐 Time11:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
☀️ Weather12°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeGea $484K · Hurkacz $20.1M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Gea (Elo 1540) meets Hurkacz (Elo 1696). The model favours Hurkacz at 71%. Form: Gea 3L, Hurkacz 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 29%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Arthur Gea 30% · Hubert Hurkacz 70% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Gea ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Gea–Hurkacz order).
Hubert Hurkacz projected to win · 72% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 3%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →