● LIVE
VS
MensikCerundolo
Jakub Mensik vs Francisco Cerundolo
ATP China Open · Round 2 · Hard · 3-6 0-0
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
☀️ Weather13°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeMensik $6.8M · Cerundolo $10.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Mensik (Elo 1825) meets Cerundolo (Elo 1753). The model favours Mensik at 60%. Form: Mensik 1L, Cerundolo 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 60%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Jakub Mensik 32% · Francisco Cerundolo 68% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Mensik ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mensik–Cerundolo order).
Jakub Mensik projected to win · 58% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 5%4-6 4-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →