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FT
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BaezJuncheng

Sebastian Baez vs Shang Juncheng

ATP China Open · Round 1 · Hard · 7-5 3-6 5-7

🕐 Time07:50 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
💰 Career prizeBaez $6.8M · Juncheng $2.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance

Predictions — Win probability

Sebastian Baez44%
Shang Juncheng56%

Elo 44%

🎾 Projected Score

From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Baez–Juncheng order).

Shang Juncheng projected to win · 54% — most likely 4-6 4-6

4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 4%6-7 3-6 · 3%

Straight sets 49% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →

Actual: 7-5 3-6 5-7

Head-to-head → ▶ Highlights