FT
VS
NavoneMinaur
Mariano Navone vs Alex de Minaur
ATP China Open · Round 1 · Hard · 6-7(4) 2-6
🕐 Time03:10 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
💰 Career prizeNavone $2.8M · Minaur $25.0M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 16%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Navone–Minaur order).
Alex de Minaur projected to win · 85% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 9%4-6 2-6 · 5%2-6 4-6 · 4%
Straight sets 64% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-7(4) 2-6