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VS
KhachanovHurkacz
Karen Khachanov vs Hubert Hurkacz
ATP China Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 3-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
🌤️ Weather15°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeKhachanov $22.5M · Hurkacz $20.1M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Khachanov (Elo 1699) meets Hurkacz (Elo 1696). The model favours Khachanov at 50%. Form: Khachanov 1L, Hurkacz 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 50%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Karen Khachanov 46% · Hubert Hurkacz 54% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Khachanov ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Khachanov–Hurkacz order).
Hubert Hurkacz projected to win · 51% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 3%6-3 6-4 · 3%6-7 3-6 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →