● LIVE
VS
CerundoloMedvedev
Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev
ATP China Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 6-7(4) 2-3
🕐 Time08:30 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
🌤️ Weather15°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeCerundolo $10.3M · Medvedev $51.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Cerundolo (Elo 1753) meets Medvedev (Elo 1899). The model favours Medvedev at 70%. Form: Cerundolo 1L, Medvedev 1W.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 30%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Francisco Cerundolo 12% · Daniil Medvedev 88% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Cerundolo ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Cerundolo–Medvedev order).
Daniil Medvedev projected to win · 70% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 7%4-6 6-7 · 3%6-7 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →