● LIVE
VS
DjokovicZverev
Novak Djokovic vs Alexander Zverev
ATP China Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 4-6 6-4 5-4
🕐 Time11:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
🌤️ Weather15°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeDjokovic $193.5M · Zverev $65.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Djokovic (Elo 1339) meets Zverev (Elo 1354). The model favours Zverev at 52%. Form: Djokovic 4L, Zverev 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 48%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Novak Djokovic 91% · Alexander Zverev 9% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Djokovic ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Djokovic–Zverev order).
Novak Djokovic projected to win · 50% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 49% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →