FT
VS
ShimabukuroShapovalov
Sho Shimabukuro vs Denis Shapovalov
ATP Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships · Round 1 · Hard · 5-7 1-6
🕐 Time07:50 UTC
📍 VenueTokyo, Japan
💰 Career prizeShimabukuro $995K · Shapovalov $14.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 28%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Shimabukuro–Shapovalov order).
Denis Shapovalov projected to win · 70% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%4-6 2-6 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 5-7 1-6