FT
VS
MichelsenAlcaraz
Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
ATP Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships · Round 1 · Hard · 6-7(1) 6-4 1-6
🕐 Time07:40 UTC
📍 VenueTokyo, Japan
💰 Career prizeMichelsen $4.0M · Alcaraz $64.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 10%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Michelsen–Alcaraz order).
Carlos Alcaraz projected to win · 90% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 7%2-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 5%
Straight sets 69% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-7(1) 6-4 1-6