Round 2
VS
TabiloShapovalov
Alejandro Tabilo vs Denis Shapovalov
ATP Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships · Round 2 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueTokyo, Japan
🌤️ Weather18°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeTabilo $5.3M · Shapovalov $14.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Tabilo (Elo 1670) meets Shapovalov (Elo 1665). The model favours Tabilo at 51%. Form: Tabilo 1L, Shapovalov 5L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 51%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Tabilo–Shapovalov order).
Alejandro Tabilo projected to win · 54% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 4-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 49% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →