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TiafoeFils
Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils
ATP Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships · Round 2 · Hard · 3-6 5-6
🕐 Time08:30 UTC
📍 VenueTokyo, Japan
⛅ Weather21°C · Partly cloudy
💰 Career prizeTiafoe $17.2M · Fils $7.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Tiafoe (Elo 1764) meets Fils (Elo 1895). The model favours Fils at 68%. Form: Tiafoe 1L, Fils 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 32%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Frances Tiafoe 16% · Arthur Fils 84% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Tiafoe ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Tiafoe–Fils order).
Arthur Fils projected to win · 68% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%4-6 6-7 · 3%6-7 3-6 · 2%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →