● LIVE
VS
SabalenkaZarazua
Aryna Sabalenka vs Renata Zarazua
WTA China Open · Round 2 · Hard · 6-1 1-1
🕐 Time11:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
☀️ Weather12°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeSabalenka $49.2M · Zarazua $2.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Sabalenka (Elo 2126) meets Zarazua (Elo 1519). The model favours Sabalenka at 97%. Form: Sabalenka 1L, Zarazua 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 97%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Aryna Sabalenka 99% · Renata Zarazua 1% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Sabalenka ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Sabalenka–Zarazua order).
Aryna Sabalenka projected to win · 98% — most likely 6-3 6-2
6-3 6-2 · 7%6-1 6-2 · 6%6-3 6-4 · 5%
Straight sets 83% · avg ~19 games · projection accuracy →