● LIVE
VS
CharaevaRybakina
Alina Charaeva vs Elena Rybakina
WTA China Open · Round 2 · Hard · 3-6 5-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
☀️ Weather13°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeCharaeva $325K · Rybakina $28.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Charaeva (Elo 1391) meets Rybakina (Elo 2025). The model favours Rybakina at 97%. Form: Charaeva 4L, Rybakina 1W.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 3%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Alina Charaeva 2% · Elena Rybakina 98% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Charaeva ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Charaeva–Rybakina order).
Elena Rybakina projected to win · 98% — most likely 2-6 2-6
2-6 2-6 · 8%2-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 6%
Straight sets 86% · avg ~19 games · projection accuracy →