Round 3
VS
MertensOstapenko
Elise Mertens vs Jelena Ostapenko
WTA China Open · Round 3 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
🌤️ Weather15°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeMertens $18.8M · Ostapenko $19.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Mertens (Elo 1727) meets Ostapenko (Elo 1691). The model favours Mertens at 55%. Form: Mertens 1L, Ostapenko 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 55%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mertens–Ostapenko order).
Elise Mertens projected to win · 57% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 3%4-6 4-6 · 3%6-4 6-3 · 2%
Straight sets 49% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →