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VS
SamsonovaMuchova
Liudmila Samsonova vs Karolina Muchova
WTA China Open · Round 3 · Hard · 1-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
🌤️ Weather15°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeSamsonova $7.9M · Muchova $11.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Samsonova (Elo 1621) meets Muchova (Elo 1950). The model favours Muchova at 87%. Form: Samsonova 4L, Muchova 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 13%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Liudmila Samsonova 14% · Karolina Muchova 86% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Samsonova ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Samsonova–Muchova order).
Karolina Muchova projected to win · 83% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%2-6 4-6 · 4%3-6 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 62% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →