● LIVE
VS
OsakaMuchova
Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova
WTA China Open · Round 4 · Hard · 4-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
☀️ Weather14°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeOsaka $25.3M · Muchova $11.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Osaka (Elo 1824) meets Muchova (Elo 1950). The model favours Muchova at 67%. Form: Osaka 1L, Muchova 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 33%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Naomi Osaka 34% · Karolina Muchova 66% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Osaka ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Osaka–Muchova order).
Karolina Muchova projected to win · 69% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 2%4-6 2-6 · 2%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →