● LIVE
VS
MertensQinwen
Elise Mertens vs Zheng Qinwen
WTA China Open · Semifinal · Hard · 5-6
🕐 Time11:00 UTC
📍 VenueBeijing, China PR
☁️ Weather17°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeMertens $18.8M · Qinwen $10.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Mertens (Elo 1727) meets Qinwen (Elo 1429). The model favours Mertens at 85%. Form: Mertens 1L, Qinwen 3L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 85%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mertens–Qinwen order).
Elise Mertens projected to win · 84% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 5%6-3 6-2 · 4%6-3 6-3 · 3%
Straight sets 63% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →