● LIVE
VS
ShapovalovNorrie
Denis Shapovalov vs Cameron Norrie
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 1 · Hard · 4-2
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Career prizeShapovalov $14.9M · Norrie $14.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 45%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Denis Shapovalov 53% · Cameron Norrie 47% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Shapovalov ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Shapovalov–Norrie order).
Cameron Norrie projected to win · 57% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 3%4-6 6-7 · 2%
Straight sets 48% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →