● LIVE
VS
BustaNavone
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mariano Navone
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 1 · Hard · 4-6 1-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather14°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeBusta $17.2M · Navone $2.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Busta (Elo 1636) meets Navone (Elo 1574). The model favours Busta at 59%. Form: Busta 1L, Navone 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 59%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Busta–Navone order).
Pablo Carreno Busta projected to win · 59% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 5%4-6 4-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →