FT
VS
GriekspoorKotov
Tallon Griekspoor vs Pavel Kotov
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 1 · Hard · 4-6 6-7(4)
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
💰 Career prizeGriekspoor $7.6M · Kotov $2.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 77%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Tallon Griekspoor 41% · Pavel Kotov 59% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Griekspoor ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Griekspoor–Kotov order).
Tallon Griekspoor projected to win · 73% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 5%6-3 6-2 · 3%6-3 7-6 · 3%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 4-6 6-7(4)