● LIVE
VS
FritzArnaldi
Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 2 · Hard · 7-5 0-0
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather17°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeFritz $30.3M · Arnaldi $5.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Fritz (Elo 1829) meets Arnaldi (Elo 1615). The model favours Fritz at 77%. Form: Fritz 1L, Arnaldi 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 77%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Taylor Fritz 91% · Matteo Arnaldi 9% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Fritz ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Fritz–Arnaldi order).
Taylor Fritz projected to win · 78% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 7%6-3 6-2 · 4%6-3 7-6 · 3%
Straight sets 58% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →