● LIVE
VS
VacherotBaez
Valentin Vacherot vs Sebastian Baez
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 2 · Hard · 3-2
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather18°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeVacherot $3.4M · Baez $6.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Vacherot (Elo 1773) meets Baez (Elo 1562). The model favours Vacherot at 77%. Form: Vacherot 1L, Baez 3L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 77%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Valentin Vacherot 85% · Sebastian Baez 15% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Vacherot ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Vacherot–Baez order).
Valentin Vacherot projected to win · 80% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 7%6-3 6-2 · 3%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 58% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →