● LIVE
VS
KotovFils
Pavel Kotov vs Arthur Fils
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 2 · Hard · 3-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather17°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeKotov $2.2M · Fils $7.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Kotov (Elo 1474) meets Fils (Elo 1895). The model favours Fils at 92%. Form: Kotov 6L, Fils 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 8%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Pavel Kotov 4% · Arthur Fils 96% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Kotov ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Kotov–Fils order).
Arthur Fils projected to win · 91% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 8%4-6 2-6 · 6%2-6 4-6 · 5%
Straight sets 72% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →